Most operators budget for the restaurant they want to open
Very few budget for the one they'll actually end up running.
The cost of opening a restaurant in Dubai catches people out, not because the numbers are hidden, but because the timeline between signing a lease and taking your first dirham is longer than expected. And every week of that timeline costs money.
Licensing alone can take 8-12 weeks, depending on the authority and cuisine type. Fit-out in a shell-and-core unit runs 30-50% higher than most operators model, especially once MEP upgrades, grease trap requirements and civil defence approvals are factored in. Then there's the staffing ramp-up. You're paying salaries, visa costs and accommodation weeks before you serve a single cover.
The line item most people underestimate? Working capital. You need at least three months of operating costs sitting in reserve before you open. Rent is often quarterly in advance. Supplier terms will not be generous until you've built a track record. And your first 60 days of trade will almost certainly underperform your projections.
I've seen operators run out of cash within four months of opening because they spent everything on the fit-out and left nothing for the fight to break even.
Restaurant startup costs in Dubai aren't unreasonable. They're just front-loaded in ways that punish poor planning.
Budget for the slow months, not the good ones.